It’s been a long two weeks since the last UFC event, as the promotion returns this weekend to Macau, China.
Set your alarm clock; the action begins at 4 a.m. on Saturday.
Thirteen fights are on tap, with nine of those expected to end inside the distance.
Before the break, we were absolutely rolling and dominating the betting cards with some crazy highlights, including a Jim Miller submission win at 13/1.
We look to keep the good times rolling as the promotion heads to Asia.
UFC Fight Macau predictions
Song Yadong vs.Deiveson Figueiredo
I was a big fan of Figueiredo when he was at flyweight, but his move up to bantamweight is much too big for him.
Song will be fighting in his home country in his physical prime, boasting cardio and size advantages over a low-volume fighter like Figueiredo.
Figueiredo is 1-3 in his last four and is 38 years old, well past his physical prime for the division.
Song has been to four straight decisions, but there is concern about Figueiredo’s willingness to throw in the towel if fatigue becomes a factor for him.
For some older fighters, getting into the octagon becomes more about collecting a paycheck and not sustaining significant damage. It’s the “live to fight another day” mentality.
Regardless, Song should roll here.
Prediction: SGP Song wins, and the fight starts Round 3 (-180, DraftKings).
Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira
It’s not too long ago that Pavlovich was looked at as a title contender in the UFC’s barren heavyweight division.
He hasn’t made too many fans with his poor performance against Jairzinho Rozenstruik last time out, but this should be a get-right matchup for him Saturday.
Pavlovich comes in as a massive -650 favorite against Teixeira, who has back-to-back underwhelming performances against Tai Tuivasa and Derrick Lewis.
He beat Tuivasa, but who hasn’t? Tuivasa has lost seven straight fights and his best performance of late was against Teixeira.
There’s no reason to bet on the underdog here. He basically has to land multiple takedowns and grind out a decision, which I’m not betting on.
Pavlovich should win this one easily.
Prediction: Pavlovich wins in Round 1 (+135, Fanatics).
Get the lowdown on the Best USA Sports Betting Sites and Apps
UFC Macau full card picks
Zhang Mingyang vs. Alonzo Menifield: Mingyang by decision (+800, BetMGM).
Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman: Asakura by decision (+250, FanDuel).
Jake Matthews vs. Carlston Harris: Matthews wins inside the distance (-115, BetMGM).
Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji: Perez by submission (+370, Fanatics Sportsbook).
YiSak Lee vs. Luis Felipe Dias: Felipe Dias moneyline for parlays (-170, Caesars).
Ding Meng vs. Jose Souza: Pass
Aoriqileng vs. Cody Haddon: Fight goes the distance (+110, DraftKings).
Rei Tsuruya vs. Luis Gurule: Fight goes the distance (-141, Caesars).
Angela Hill vs. Xiong Jingnan: Jingnan by decision (-110, FanDuel).
Zhu Kangjie vs. Rodrigo Vera: Vera moneyline (-110, Caesars); Vera by decision (+190, FanDuel).
Loma Lookboonmee vs. Jaqueline Amorim: Fight goes the distance (-160, DraftKings).
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.
