A disturbance will skirt the southern half of the Tri-State Area Thursday afternoon and early evening, bringing the potential for isolated severe storms that could produce damaging wind gusts and localized flooding.
On a scale of 1 to 5, there is a Level 2 threat for Ocean County and a Level 1 threat for Monmouth, Middlesex, Somerset and Hunterdon Counties. Farther north, the threat level diminishes.
Damaging straight-line wind is the threat to watch for from any storms that reach severe limits. That means wind gusts at or above 60 miles per hour that could snap limbs, down trees, or cause power outages.
As for rain, areas north of New York City should get less than 0.5 inches. Most areas south of the city could get closer to an inch, with isolated areas receiving 2 inches or more.
It’s in these isolated zones where flash flooding could happen. Showers and storms will diminish by mid-evening. Any severe weather that does pop up won’t be as impactful or widespread as recent storms.
Who is most at risk?
A look at Thursday’s wind threat
More flooding?
Hour-by-hour radar outlook
